Barcelona at 83% reflects a side that won its first five league games and has scored freely on the road, visiting a Sevilla team much improved on last year's 13th-place finish but still a clear step down in quality. The draw at 12% and Sevilla at around 6% are priced as long shots, which is defensible given the gap. What complicates a lazy Barcelona lay is the fixture. Both clubs played a midweek match before this Saturday date, so rotation and rest matter more than the table suggests, and Sevilla beat Barcelona 4-1 at this ground as recently as October 2025. The Pizjuán has bitten favorites before.
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