Bayern at 93% is priced roughly where the sportsbooks sit, and the case for it is boring in the way winning trades usually are. They've taken seven of nine available points, hammered Bodo/Glimt 5-0 in the Champions League, and haven't lost to Union in fifteen straight, including a 4-0 win in this exact fixture last March. Union arrive 16th, having shipped ten goals in three league games, with a coach openly saying his players' defensive attitude isn't there and Burke and Ilic both out. The draw at 5% is where any value hides, since Bayern have conceded in four of five domestic games and drew Schalke 0-0, but that's a thin reed at the Allianz.
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