Houston near 54% on the moneyline is the market splitting hairs between two 0-2 teams in a game whose loser likely faces an 0-3 hole. The Texans are the road team but carry the stronger recent history, having beaten the Colts 38-30 in January and swept the season series a year ago, and they own a sharper pass rush with seven sacks. Both sides sit at minus-2 turnover differential and have sputtered offensively, which is why the total sits in the low 40s and the spread hovers around a field goal. The case for Indianapolis is home field and desperation. The case for Houston is the better roster finally waking up. A near-even line says pick your read on which offense fixes itself first.
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