The Jets moneyline near 28% is the honest read on a road team scoring 20 a game visiting a Detroit offense putting up 31. The market's spread has settled around Lions by six or seven, tighter than the touchdown-plus you might expect, and the reason lives in the box score: the Jets rank first in the league in time of possession at better than 38 minutes, which shortens games and starves blowouts. Detroit's edge is scoring and turnover margin, both strong. If the Jets grind clock and stay plus in giveaways as they have, the under and the cover both come into play. Pace, not talent, is the argument.
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