López Aliaga at 88% reflects an unusual setup where he isn't the formal nominee. Popular Renewal's registered candidate withdrew in August, leaving the former mayor listed as first council candidate and de facto standard-bearer, and Peruvian polling has him leading Lima comfortably, roughly 30% in one late-August CPI survey against Bruce in the low teens. The wrinkle is whether a party that wins without a registered mayoral candidate actually installs him, a question voters split on in a September poll. Bruce and the rest of the field trail by double digits. The trade is less about vote share than about whether the mechanics let the leader claim the office.
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