Both initiatives are priced for defeat, and the polling is why. The neutrality initiative sat around 63% rejection in the September gfs.bern survey for the public broadcaster, up nine points from August, with pollsters calling rejection the clear outcome. The food initiative deteriorated even faster, from a near-tie in early polls to a majority against, as opposition arguments about a 70% self-sufficiency target landed as unrealistic. Swiss initiatives almost always lose support during a campaign, and neither has a major party behind it. The residual yes prices, both under 3%, are really priced for a polling miss plus a turnout surprise, which is a thin thread this late.
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