Both lines here sit near 2%, which reads low against how hot the fighting around Nabatieh has been. UN officials condemned intensifying Israeli operations in and around the district in September, with roughly 20,000 people fleeing and hundreds of projectiles recorded, and Israel declared control of the nearby Ali al-Taher ridge on September 3. The market is drawing a line between operations around Nabatieh and forces entering the city itself, and the low price says traders read the campaign as a buffer-zone and ridge fight rather than an urban push into the town. The resolution language does the heavy lifting. If it demands troops inside the city proper, 2% is defensible even with combat this close.
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