Caitlin Clark at 56% and Alyssa Thomas at 40% is the market splitting a genuine dead heat, and the data backs the caution. The two sat level at a displayed 8.3 assists per game into late August, with Thomas ordered first on the official leaderboard on marginally more volume, Clark carrying the higher per-game raw figure across fewer games. This comes down to whose rate holds over the closing stretch and how the league rounds a lead measured in hundredths. Sabrina Ionescu and the rest at a tenth of a percent are correct throwaways. The edge, if there is one, lives in games-played math and health, not talent.
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