This sits at 4%, and the calendar explains most of it. Trailer 3 already landed on August 27, so the market is really asking whether Rockstar drops a fourth trailer before September 30 with the game due November 19. Marketing tends to cluster near launch, and a gameplay-focused piece has been floated for later in the fall, which argues for something eventually but not necessarily this month. Rockstar rarely telegraphs drops, so a surprise is always live. Absent any announced date or countdown, the base rate for a specific trailer inside a narrow four-day window is low, and the price reflects patience over prophecy.
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