A'ja Wilson at 95% is not a market with a live debate at the top, it's a market pricing whether voters get bored. She's led the league in scoring around 26 points a game with a shooting line few centers ever post, and she's chasing a fifth MVP and a third straight, both firsts. The case against is entirely narrative. Olivia Miles, a rookie carrying Minnesota to the league's best record, is the only name with a real story, which is why she and Caitlin Clark sit near 6 to 7% while proven veterans get rounded to zero. Voters have rewarded late-season pushes before, and that's the only crack.
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