Every price here reads like noise because the actual leader isn't listed. Jacob Misiorowski paced qualified pitchers around a 1.73 ERA into September, and he doesn't appear among these contracts, which means the market's spreading probability across pitchers who are mostly playing for second. Skenes at 2.4%, Fried at 2.8% and Cease near 1.8% are the priciest names, none of them close to the front. Cristopher Sanchez, at roughly 2.5, has the innings and the reputation but not the run-prevention edge. Unless Misiorowski's absence signals he's disqualified on innings, the honest read is that this field trades a race someone else is winning.
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