Italy trades around 42% at home in the Stadio Olimpico for a Nations League opener where both sides are starting over under new managers. Italy is midway through a rebuild after missing a third straight World Cup, while Belgium arrives off a quarter-final run but under a debuting Van Bommel whose approach is still a question, and without Thibaut Courtois, who is taking a break. The tie priced near 27% deserves attention for a first competitive match between two teams still finding their shape. Home advantage and Belgium's experimentation lean Italy, but a Red Devils squad with more tournament pedigree keeps the away side underrated at 31%.
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