This one prices as close to a three-way toss as the Nations League gives you, with the Netherlands a hair ahead at home and the draw a live 26%. Both benches are brand new, Xavi for the Dutch and Klopp for Germany, so the usual form read is thin and the market is leaning on venue and squad quality. The Netherlands are missing Malen and Kluivert to injury, while Germany brought back ter Stegen in goal. Recent history favors Germany, who took the last meeting 1-0 and hold the head-to-head edge, which is the argument for fading a home price built partly on the Amsterdam crowd.
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