Team USA at 81% is the market saying what the record already says. The Americans have won 13 of the last 15 Presidents Cups and take a squad to Medinah anchored by Scottie Scheffler, with the International side carrying just one player inside the top 20 of the world ranking. What would move this is pairings and Xander Schauffele's form, since a quiet 2026 by his standards still leaves him the kind of team player whose absence at his best opens an International path to an upset. Ogilvy's six picks bring depth questions the price is already discounting. The tie at 5% is the only real value screen worth a second look.
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