New York G vs Los Angeles R: Total Points

The total sits right around 48, a fair midpoint for a game with one of last season's top passing offenses and a Giants defense missing corners. The case for the over leans on Adams and a possibly-healthy Nacua carving up a thin New York secondary while Dart's offense answers, the way the shootout math usually works when a favorite has to press. The under's argument is the same possession script that keeps the spread tight, since Wilson blitzed Dallas only 20 percent of the time and a Giants offense that controls the clock shortens the game. A Nacua scratch would tug the number down as much as any single factor.