Michael Penix Jr. is Atlanta's confirmed Week 3 starter, the first real quarterback the Falcons have run out all season, and every scoring line on this board bends around that. Bijan Robinson sits highest to find the end zone, which fits a team that finally wants to feed its best player near the goal line. The Packers' side leans on Christian Watson and Tucker Kraft, both plausible given Green Bay's own banged-up receiver room. What would move these is a script, since a close game keeps starters involved late while a Green Bay lead early hands carries to the run and starves the passing touchdowns everyone is holding.
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