The market has Philadelphia around a field goal at Soldier Field on Monday night, with the Eagles minus-3.5 sitting near the coin-flip line and their outright win probability closer to two-thirds. Philadelphia comes in 2-0, Chicago 1-1, but the early box scores flip the narrative, with the Bears scoring 31 a game to the Eagles' 24 and outgaining them by nearly a hundred yards per contest. Philadelphia's defense has three sacks, no interceptions, and a negative turnover differential through two weeks, numbers that argue the spread is generous to the road favorite. The case for laying the points rests on talent and Jalen Hurts, not on how either team has actually looked.
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