Green Bay laying more than six points at Lambeau against a 0-2 Atlanta team says the market trusts the environment more than the film. The Falcons rank near the bottom of the league in scoring and turnover margin after a 34-3 loss to Carolina, and they'll start Michael Penix Jr. in his return from a torn ACL, a third quarterback in three weeks. Green Bay is 1-1 and hasn't covered a spread yet, with Jordan Love uneven and Josh Jacobs on the Commissioner's Exempt list, so the offense that justifies a two-score number hasn't shown up. A mobility-limited quarterback behind a struggling line is how blowouts happen, and also how backdoor covers do.
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