The spread ladder has Indianapolis favored on a neutral field in London, and the driver is Washington's quarterback situation more than the Colts' quality. Jayden Daniels dislocated his left elbow in Week 2, the same joint that wrecked his 2025, and while he traveled to London and will practice "in some form and fashion," his status stayed unconfirmed into the week. Marcus Mariota kept the Commanders afloat, beating Seattle, but a healthy Daniels changes both the line and the shape of the game. The margin buckets cluster around a field-goal edge for Indianapolis, so the sharp read is a Daniels active-or-out call, since that news collapses or steepens the whole ladder at once.
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