Detroit at 73% at home against a 1-1 Jets team looks about right, and the case for laying it is that this is the best offense New York has faced all year. The Jets defense has looked genuinely improved through two weeks, which is the reason to wonder whether 73% is a touch rich for a unit that hasn't been tested by a top-tier attack yet. Detroit is patching an offensive line, getting starters back at right tackle while others sit, and the Jets are down tight end Mason Taylor and monitoring edge rusher David Bailey's elbow. Road dogs against banged-up favorites are where the market occasionally overpays for the name.
Prices are probabilities — our guides cover how to read them, how markets settle, and how we find an edge.