Denver at home in the mid-to-high 50s looks about right for a team that went 14-3 and took the AFC's second-best record into 2026. Jacksonville arrives off a 13-win 2025 and beat these Broncos twice last season, snapping an 11-game Denver streak and ending a two-year playoff drought. The road side is trading below where recent head-to-head form alone would put it, which is the tension. What moves this is Trevor Lawrence's status and whether Jacksonville's offense travels to altitude. The counterweight is Empower Field, where Sean Payton's group has been hard to solve. Verify late-week injury reports before committing to either number.
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