Houston in the high 50s at home leans on a defense that graded among the league's best, but the injury sheet undercuts the number. The Texans lost starting linebacker Henry To'oToo to a shoulder injury and his backup Jake Hummel to a groin issue in a 36-31 loss to Buffalo, thinning a position that now leans on career reserves and rookies. Cincinnati came through Week 1 clean and owns the league's best turnover margin early. The Bengals sit below 45% as road underdogs while healthier and better-differentiated. What holds Houston up is home field and C.J. Stroud. Confirm To'oToo's status and Cincinnati's line health late week.
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