Oregon at 61% is priced as a road favorite, which fits a Ducks team that has won the last four in this series, including 42-27 in Eugene last year. USC comes in 4-0 and the Big Ten's only unbeaten, hosting at the Coliseum off a 42-35 win over Rutgers, while Oregon is 2-1 and coming off an 84-0 tune-up against Portland State. The opening line was Oregon by 2.5, so the market and the book roughly agree the Ducks are better, not safe. Oregon's plus-4 turnover margin and red-zone efficiency argue the price is fair. USC's home edge and time-of-possession control are the case for the fade.
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