Georgia at 95% is close to what the matchup deserves. The Bulldogs come in ranked No. 2 at 2-0 to open SEC play, while Arkansas is 1-1 off a 43-10 loss at Utah. There is a structural edge worth pricing, since Georgia is 10-0 in its first SEC road game every year of the Kirby Smart era. The case for Arkansas is thin and mostly environmental, a raucous Fayetteville crowd and a new staff with nothing to lose. At 5%, the Razorback side pays for a specific script, early turnovers or a Georgia quarterback problem, and absent that the favorite holds. This is a spread market masquerading as a moneyline.
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