Notre Dame at 98% is priced like a formality, and the gap supports it. The Irish are ranked No. 3 at home, hosting a Michigan State side that beat Eastern Michigan the week before. The all-time series favors Notre Dame heavily, 47-29-1 with the Irish holding the current streak, and CJ Carr has the Irish offense humming under the lights. At 2%, the Spartan side is a lottery ticket that needs a rash of Notre Dame turnovers or an injury to Carr, and prime time in South Bend is not where upsets like that usually incubate. The only real question is margin, which this market does not ask. Value on the favorite at 98 is essentially gone.
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