Philadelphia around 67% reflects a genuine turnaround, undefeated across a long stretch after opening 2026 as arguably the worst side in MLS, taking seven points from a possible 45 through fifteen matches. The Union sit just above Orlando in a tight Eastern playoff cluster, and this is a home game with a five-match winning run behind it. Orlando near 17% is priced as the visitor in poor form who leaks goals, with a goal difference deep in the negatives. The tie is the trap, since a draw suits neither team's playoff math and both will push. Milan Iloski's finishing is the swing factor.
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