This closes October 1, so most of these are effectively settled and the prices reflect it, which is why nearly every star sits in single digits with the season nearly done. Hunter Goodman is the live one at 82%, sitting at 38 home runs in mid-to-late September, close enough that the remaining schedule and rest days decide it rather than any talent question. Shea Langeliers near 19% is the other name with real optionality. The trap is treating a marquee name at 7% as value; a player who isn't near 40 with days left isn't getting there, and the market has already priced the math.
Prices are probabilities — our guides cover how to read them, how markets settle, and how we find an edge.