Toronto at 57 and Texas at 44 sums past 100, so there's vig baked in and the true edge for the Jays is thinner than it looks. Both teams are chasing the same thing, with the Blue Jays and Rangers each hovering around a game and a half outside the final AL wild-card picture in what's been the most muddled race in baseball. Motivation is symmetric, so the edge has to come from the starters and the bullpen matchup on the night, not the standings. If you back Texas, you're getting a near-even price on a team playing at home with identical stakes, which is the kind of spot where the favorite tax on Toronto isn't obviously earned.
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