Brazil at 73% is what you'd expect against a side Australia has beaten once in twelve tries, and the draw sitting at 17% carries a real warning. These teams met in Townsville four days ago and Brazil needed a Rayan header on the final touch to escape 1-1, with Ancelotti still rotating a squad rebuilding after an early World Cup exit. Popovic's Socceroos have shown they'll press rather than sit deep. The case for Brazil is talent and the promise of raised intensity in the return leg. The case against is a friendly in which the favorite has little to prove and every reason to experiment.
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