Brazil at 79% carries the names, with Raphinha and Vinicius Junior in attack and Endrick getting minutes, against an Australia side that has scored one or fewer goals in ten of its last twelve. The counterweight is the setting. This is Townsville, where the Socceroos are unbeaten in seven home matches and won six, and it is Ancelotti's post-World Cup rebuild after a last-16 exit to Norway, with Alisson left home and a reshaped lineup still finding its shape. Brazil have won only two of their last eight away. A tie at 15% is where the value hunt lives if you think the visitors sleepwalk through a friendly.
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