Liverpool at 45% looks light for a side that's still the class team on the pitch, and it reflects real trouble. The Reds took six points from twelve to open the season, with only two goals across their last two league outings, and Bournemouth beat them 3-2 at the Vitality in January. Marco Rose's Bournemouth have led in all four league games and won none, drawing the last three, so they generate danger and squander it. Van Dijk, Isak and Wirtz sat out the Carabao Cup and return fresh here. The draw at 26% carries weight given how often this fixture turns into a track meet.
Prices are probabilities — our guides cover how to read them, how markets settle, and how we find an edge.