Nene Royal at 77% is the market treating a four-time Golden Buzzer singer as the safe read, and AGT history rewards vocalists who build a following through the live rounds. The finale is a raw popular vote over ten acts, with judges reduced to spectators once America starts dialing, so fan intensity and screen time matter more than polish. Come Here at 15% and Geno Ploeger around 10% are the only other acts the crowd is pricing as live. The risk to Royal is the usual one for frontrunners in vote shows, a novelty act or a robotics gimmick catching a late viral wave that polling can't capture.
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